🏆 Minervini SEPA
半導體 + AI 巨頭/基建 · 資料日 2026-09-21(美股收盤) · 產生 2026-10-02 16:40 · Minervini 原版 Trend Template(50/150/200MA + 200MA上彎 + 距52低≥30% + 離52高≤25% + RS≥70)
· RS = 126日報酬 vs nasdaq1000 全母體百分位
🔍 族群發動雷達 凝聚度 = 族群 TT 通過率 · 加速Δ = 凝聚度變化(L26 唯一倖存族群 edge)· 加速² = Δ5D 的變化(二階導數,拐點比水位早)· 狀態機:🔥發動 🌡鈍化(漲不動) 🏔盤整 ⚡點火 📈回暖 📉退潮 💤沉寂
| 族群 | 狀態 | 凝聚度 | 加速Δ | 加速² | TT通過 | SEPA | VCP | 中位RS | 位階(離50MA) | 60日軌跡 | 領導股 |
半導體·設計 4/13 通過 TT
| 股票 | RS | TT | 收盤 | 離50MA | 離52高 | VCP足跡 | pivot | 距pivot | 狀態 |
|---|
| AMD AMD 📈 | 99 | ✓ TT | 615.52 | +23.8% | +0.0% | | | | |
| MRVL Marvell 📈 | 99 | ✓ TT | 257.38 | +18.9% | -18.7% | | | | |
| ARM Arm 📈 | 97 | ✗ | 322.90 | +23.7% | -26.5% | 13w-52/13-4T | 324.16 | -0.4% | |
| SWKS Skyworks 📈 | 87 | ✓ TT | 88.74 | +28.3% | -2.8% | | | | |
| QCOM Qualcomm 📈 | 83 | ✗ | 194.23 | +15.2% | -22.6% | 16w-27/7-4T | 195.31 | -0.6% | VCP A+ |
| TXN Texas Instruments 📈 | 81 | ✗ | 270.87 | -0.8% | -18.5% | | | | |
| NVDA NVIDIA 📈 | 72 | ✓ TT | 227.38 | +6.0% | -3.5% | 18w-14/11-5T | 234.76 | -3.1% | VCP A+ |
| ADI Analog Devices 📈 | 63 | ✗ | 383.00 | +2.6% | -14.0% | 13w-17/12-3T | 396.95 | -3.5% | |
| NXPI NXP 📈 | 61 | ✗ | 232.41 | -2.9% | -30.1% | 16w-18/9-5T | 238.60 | -2.6% | VCP A+ |
| ON onsemi 📈 | 60 | ✗ | 71.72 | -9.3% | -46.4% | 15w-20/14-5T | 85.55 | -16.2% | |
| MPWR Monolithic Power 📈 | 58 | ✗ | 1,277.68 | -1.8% | -24.4% | | | | |
| MCHP Microchip 📈 | 57 | ✗ | 74.78 | -2.7% | -27.3% | 19w-16/9-5T | 75.17 | -0.5% | VCP A+ |
| AVGO Broadcom 📈 | 53 | ✗ | 362.66 | -4.3% | -24.7% | 15w-25/11-5T | 376.59 | -3.7% | VCP A+ |
半導體·製造/記憶體 3/5 通過 TT
| 股票 | RS | TT | 收盤 | 離50MA | 離52高 | VCP足跡 | pivot | 距pivot | 狀態 |
|---|
| INTC Intel 📈 | 98 | ✓ TT | 121.78 | +25.1% | -13.6% | | | | |
| MU Micron 📈 | 97 | ✓ TT | 1,043.96 | +12.4% | -14.0% | 12w-36/13-4T | 1064.49 | -1.9% | |
| AXTI AXT 📈 | 82 | ✗ | 79.93 | +25.9% | -43.2% | | | | |
| TSM 台積電 ADR 📈 | 72 | ✓ TT | 445.14 | +6.6% | -6.8% | 12w-22/7-4T | 445.72 | -0.1% | VCP A+ |
| GFS GlobalFoundries 📈 | 48 | ✗ | 48.57 | -3.2% | -46.0% | | | | |
半導體·設備/EDA 1/8 通過 TT
| 股票 | RS | TT | 收盤 | 離50MA | 離52高 | VCP足跡 | pivot | 距pivot | 狀態 |
|---|
| LRCX Lam Research 📈 | 73 | ✗ | 302.28 | -1.4% | -30.2% | 12w-43/18-4T | 322.21 | -6.2% | |
| TER Teradyne 📈 | 72 | ✓ TT | 381.54 | +4.6% | -21.1% | 12w-39/15-4T | 385.68 | -1.1% | |
| ASML ASML 📈 | 71 | ✗ | 1,711.32 | -0.5% | -14.0% | 12w-23/12-3T | 1790.00 | -4.4% | |
| AMAT Applied Materials 📈 | 71 | ✗ | 464.24 | -6.8% | -35.8% | 12w-41/13-3T | 474.04 | -2.1% | |
| ENTG Entegris 📈 | 65 | TT✓ RS弱 | 143.14 | +3.3% | -22.2% | 13w-43/12-3T | 144.52 | -1.0% | VCP A+ |
| KLAC KLA 📈 | 63 | ✗ | 183.97 | -4.1% | -39.0% | 12w-45/13-3T | 190.87 | -3.6% | |
| CDNS Cadence 📈 | 36 | ✗ | 294.90 | -8.7% | -29.2% | | | | |
| SNPS Synopsys 📈 | 27 | ✗ | 401.85 | +0.1% | -24.8% | | | | |
AI 巨頭 1/8 通過 TT
| 股票 | RS | TT | 收盤 | 離50MA | 離52高 | VCP足跡 | pivot | 距pivot | 狀態 |
|---|
| AAPL Apple 📈 | 76 | ✓ TT | 338.98 | +5.7% | -0.3% | 8w-13/3-2T | 339.64 | -0.2% | VCP A+ |
| MSFT Microsoft 📈 | 72 | ✗ | 501.61 | +7.4% | -7.5% | | | | |
| AMZN Amazon 📈 | 66 | TT✓ RS弱 | 258.45 | +0.9% | -9.0% | | | | |
| META Meta 📈 | 65 | ✗ | 741.25 | +21.8% | -4.8% | | | | |
| PLTR Palantir 📈 | 61 | ✗ | 183.09 | +14.9% | -11.6% | | | | |
| GOOGL Alphabet 📈 | 54 | TT✓ RS弱 | 354.97 | +2.7% | -11.8% | | | | |
| TSLA Tesla 📈 | 33 | ✗ | 375.30 | +7.4% | -23.4% | 18w-13/8-4T | 384.04 | -2.3% | VCP A+ |
| ORCL Oracle 📈 | 26 | ✗ | 148.56 | +5.2% | -54.7% | | | | |
AI 基建 3/9 通過 TT
| 股票 | RS | TT | 收盤 | 離50MA | 離52高 | VCP足跡 | pivot | 距pivot | 狀態 |
|---|
| DELL Dell 📈 | 99 | ✓ TT | 575.20 | +23.6% | -2.2% | | | | |
| ALAB Astera Labs 📈 | 99 | ✗ | 340.74 | +12.1% | -29.5% | | | | |
| SMCI Supermicro 📈 | 93 | ✗ | 41.20 | +21.8% | -29.8% | 15w-36/15-5T | 41.72 | -1.2% | |
| ANET Arista 📈 | 83 | ✓ TT | 205.42 | +9.3% | -2.4% | 7w-15/7-3T | 205.95 | -0.3% | VCP A+ |
| NVT nVent 📈 | 76 | ✓ TT | 159.44 | +1.9% | -13.5% | 13w-21/12-5T | 163.75 | -2.6% | |
| CLS Celestica 📈 | 69 | ✗ | 344.40 | +6.6% | -27.1% | 15w-22/16-5T | 353.96 | -2.7% | |
| COHR Coherent 📈 | 53 | ✗ | 321.52 | +8.4% | -24.7% | 15w-24/17-5T | 332.86 | -3.4% | |
| MOD Modine 📈 | 32 | ✗ | 197.62 | -1.9% | -35.6% | 16w-21/12-5T | 201.22 | -1.8% | |
| VRT Vertiv 📈 | 29 | ✗ | 250.86 | -7.1% | -33.3% | | | | |
光通訊 1/4 通過 TT
| 股票 | RS | TT | 收盤 | 離50MA | 離52高 | VCP足跡 | pivot | 距pivot | 狀態 |
|---|
| LITE Lumentum 📈 | 75 | ✓ TT | 954.49 | +13.0% | -9.4% | | | | |
| GLW Corning 📈 | 68 | ✗ | 158.98 | +3.0% | -37.8% | 12w-58/17-4T | 171.30 | -7.2% | |
| AAOI Applied Optoelectronics 📈 | 64 | ✗ | 108.67 | -3.3% | -51.3% | | | | |
| CIEN Ciena 📈 | 26 | ✗ | 365.96 | -4.2% | -41.6% | | | | |
監控池固定 ~40 檔(半導體 設計/製造/設備EDA + AI 巨頭 + AI 基建),不合格照列(灰化)=監控用途,非篩選器。
「TT✓ RS弱」= 趨勢結構過但 RS<70(跑輸母體 70% 的股票)。「離50MA」>20% = 已延伸,別追。
美股用 Minervini 原版 50/150/200 骨幹(原版即在美股驗證);台股頁用 20/60(L25 台股在地化回測)。
資料每日 06:02 台北時間更新(= 美股前一交易日收盤)。點股票代碼看 260 日 K 線 + 50/150/200MA + pivot。